Crossposted from The Greanville Post
Editors’ Note: I belong to a small group of people deeply interested in China’s rise and transformation, and the implications of this reality for the rest of the world. Many in this group (China Writers Group, or CWG) are experts on China affairs in their own right, and reside in the Far East, including China, Thailand, Taiwan, etc. Others come from Australia, the empire’s glaring outpost now for China containment and provocations in the immediate region, an ideally positioned territory for imperial “forward bases”, along with Japan and Korea. Obviously, the most important “implication” of China’s enormous success is that the Western empire, led by the US, has finally taken notice of Beijing’s new stature with a vengeance, and seems determined to snuff it out by any means necessary. Right now we are watching a war that is chiefly hybrid (culturo-informational) hence the nonstop and mounting barrage of often ridiculous Chinese demonizations, and also economic, in the form of a savage trade war implemented by Trump (including deliberate acts of sabotage and threats by the US coalition), but so far not so much “kinetic”, although the saber rattling has also been increasing dangerously in the East Asia region, since Obama initiated his mealy-mouthed named “pivot to Asia” strategy. Recently Evan Jones, an Australian member of the group, reprinted a thought-provoking excerpt from a mail post authored by one Shao Wei Hua, said to be a Taiwanese from the United States. Unfortunately, efforts to find the original link to the essay, have proved futile. Here’s Shao’s assessment of the current situation, as relayed by Evan, who provides his own intro deck to the material, plus additional commentary by him on a related matter.—PG
Why China and the United States must have a war
Shao Wei Hua
From ancient times to the present, from animals to humans, whenever a new boss wants to replace an old boss, a conflict will surely erupt. This is a natural law and no one can defy it.
How does American military hegemony project itself? By relying on its aircraft carrier combat groups.
The DF-21 in action
An artist impression of the Chinese DF-21 ballistic guided missile’s anti-ship capability. The simulation shows the missile launched against an aircraft carrier. The missile releases the upper stage that uses steering nozzles to position the payload on the required trajectory, while dodging missile interceptors in space… Before reentering the upper atmosphere the upper stage releases the unitary warhead protected by the reentry vehicle. This section is also equipped with decoys and pyrotechnical charges that are kicked in to avoid missile interceptors and reposition the warhead on target. According to missile experts, such terminal manoeuvring isn’t necessary when nuclear warheads are used, but would be useful for conventional attack. DF-21 is likely to carry a 0.3-0.5kt nuclear warhead or several conventional warheads. Another intriguing part of this video is the upper stage ‘dodging’ missile interceptors, since this element doesn’t have the means to respond to incoming interceptors. Hence, these manoeuvres are more likely to be pre-programmed rather than reactive.
This is a good deal for me.
They think that it is impossible for the Chinese to develop it themselves so the only way is to steal it.
In fact, there is no need to lose faith. The Koreans have survived the Korean War.
CODA by Evan Jones
BTW, another email pal wondered why China is so busy building up a modern navy. Good question; it took a bit of thinking about history to figure out why.
> A (South China Sea) conflict is totally unnecessary because China doesn’t have anything to gain from trying to have disputes with its customers.
Yes, a big reason for China’s entire BRI program is to set up alternate routes that bypass the S China sea. e.g.
– More than one container train an hour now departs China for Europe,
– There are oil and gas pipelines that run between the Bay of Bengal in
Burma and Yunnan.
– The Karakorum Highway from Xingjiang to the Arabian Sea.
> so China had no reason to build a large navy in the first place.
A logical next step in the Wests’ efforts to stymie China’s relentless economic growth, will be the modern day equivalent to Queen Elizabeth’s Letters of Marque, which empowered privateer warships to stop and plunder enemy cargo ships on the high seas. This has already started happening. So China sees a modern navy as a deterrent to help prevent its customers having their cargoes plundered on the high seas.
History does tend to repeat itself.
ALL CAPTIONS & PULLQUOTES BY THE EDITORS NOT THE AUTHORS
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